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Femorning Daily 2.6.2017

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1. The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.6 in May, representing 0.7 percentage points lower than in April. For the first time in 11 months, it fell below the critical point. According to CEBM, the output index and the new orders index fell to the lowest since June last year. The sub-index of stocks of purchases signaled a sharp decline while the sub-index of stocks of finished goods rebounded, indicating that enterprises change from the active replenishment to passive inventory. With further increasing manufacturing pressure in May, economic downward has been basically revealed.

1、5月,财新中国制造业PMI49.6,较4月回落0.7个百分点,11个月以来首次落入临界点以下。财新智库莫尼塔表示,产出指数、新订单指数均下跌至去年6月以来最低;采购库存指数大幅下跌,但产成品库存回升,显示企业从主动补库存向被动加库存转变。5月制造业压力进一步加大,经济下行的趋势已经基本确立。


2. The Ministry of Finance of the People’s Republic of China issued the "Measures on Special Local Government Land Reserve Bond Management (Trial)". It clearly requires that only when there should be a stable expected debt financing source and the income of corresponding government fund should be able to protect repayment of principal and interest on bonds, Special Land Reserve Bonds of land reserve projects are permitted to be issued. Local governments at all levels shall not borrow government debts to non-land reserve institutions in the name of land reserves, shall not borrow land lease debts in any way other than local government bonds and shall not provide any guarantee in any way for the reserves of any organization or any individual.

2、财政部印发《地方政府土地储备专项债券管理办法(试行)》,办法明确发行土地储备专项债券的土地储备项目,应当有稳定的预期偿债资金来源,对应的政府性基金收入应当能够保障偿还债券本金和利息。地方各级政府不得以土地储备名义为非土地储备机构举借政府债务,不得通过地方政府债券以外的任何方式举借土地储备债务,不得以储备土地为任何单位和个人的债务以任何方式提供担保。


3. Shanghai Securities News Report, the Chinese government plans continually to promote the reconstruction of 15 million houses in Shanty areas during the next three years (2018 to 2020). According to the forecast of analytical institutions, the proportion of monetization resettlement of shanty area reconstruction will be about 45%, corresponding to the annual demand for housing 220 million to 240 million square meters, which can effectively hedge the transaction falling of first-tier and second-tier cities due to the regulation and control. After speeding up reduction of unsold house and monetization placement in the third-tier and forth-tier cities, the national real estate sales this year is overall optimistic.

3、上证报消息,中国政府计划在2018年至2020年三年间继续推进1500万套的棚改。分析机构预计,棚改货币化安置所占比例将在45%左右,对应每年带动住宅需求2.2亿至2.4亿平方米,可以有效对冲一二线城市因调控带来的成交回落。在三四线城市去库存货币化安置提速后,今年全国房地产销售情况整体乐观。


4. Xinhua News Agency News, Chinese enterprises overseas mergers and acquisitions turn from heat to cold this year after experiencing triumph of previous years. In the first quarter of 2017, the number of Chinese companies’ overseas mergers and acquisitions fell 39% year-on-year and trading amount fell 77%. The first four months, cross-border acquisitions amount of Chinese enterprises fell more than 60%, hitting the biggest year-on-year decline since 2009 global financial crisis. Experts believe that on the one hand, it is because of strict regulation; on the other hand, it is because enterprises are more cautious and rational when “going out” after "paying tuition" previously.

4、新华社消息,中国企业海外并购经历前几年高歌猛进后,今年由热转冷。一季度,中国企业海外并购交易数量同比下滑39%,交易金额下降77%。前4个月,中国企业跨境收购额跌60%以上,创下2009年全球金融危机过后最大同比跌幅。专家认为,出现这种情况,一方面是因为监管趋严,另一方面是由于企业在“交学费”之后,“走出去”时更加谨慎、理性。


5. 21st Century Business Herald News, the stock market continually fluctuated recently and major shareholders of listed companies who pledged shares close to the closing line or even cordon continued to emerge. In this regard, the Exchange has been staring at the risk of large shareholder’s stock pledge and has issued a number of inquiry letters on many listed companies. Only during the last week, Dalian Tianbao Green Food Co., Ltd., Ningbo Dongli Co., Ltd, Huapont Life Sciences Co., Ltd , Great Southeast Co., Ltd and other companies have received the regulatory inquiry letter of Shenzhen Stock Exchange. By May 24th, the market value of A shares pledged equity was 3.97 trillion yuan, accounting for 7.2% of the total market value of A shares.

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